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122908번 게시글
분류번호 122908
자료명 Optical Fibre and Cable Monitor 2018 January
출판사 CRU
발행일 2018-01-12
금액(원) 1,000,000
내용  SUMMARY
 World fibre demand tops one half billion km in 2017

• The amount of bare fibre shipped in 2017 was 520 million fibre-km. This total is up 12% from the
464 million fibre-km shipped in 2016, making 2017 the fourth consecutive year with double-digit
growth. The growth from 2015 to 2016 also was 12%.
• Cable installations amounted to 481 million fibre-km in 2017. The difference between this figure and
the 520 million km of bare fibre is the yield in making cable. The world’s fibre shortage continued
through year-end, so there was no fibre in inventory other than the usual manufacturing pipeline.
• About 1,700 tonnes of new preform capacity came on-line during 2017. This corresponds to about
55 million fibre-km. The growth in fibre demand last year meant that all preform capacity was fully
utilized all year long. The resulting shortage has led to higher fibre prices.
• The major factor in the world’s cable market growth was China’s demand, which increased from 243
million fibre-km in 2016 to 277 million in 2017. This represents a 14% year-over-year growth rate.
China’s percent of the world market rose from 57% in 2016 to 58% in 2018.
• In mid-November, China Mobile said that its H1 2018 optical cable purchases would be 110 million
fiber-km. This figure refers to loose-tube cable. The company also indicated full-year-demand of 5.5
million fibre-km for ribbon cable in a separate tender. Last year, China Mobile also had a separate
tender for bow-tie drop cable.
• If China Mobile’s demand stays high in H2, the company’s full-year consumption could be more than
220 million fibre-km in 2018. This amount is more than that of all countries except China in 2017.
• Industry participants expect China Mobile’s demand to remain strong throughout 2018. This
suggests that China’s domestic installations, including those of other carriers and network operators,
could exceed 340 million fibre-km, putting China at more than 60% of world demand. This outlook,
of course, will depend on additional preform capacity ramping up during 2018.
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